PROBLEM SET 1 - THE GOODS MARKET AND MULTIPLIERS - ANSWERS

1. This answer is ambiguous because the statement is ambiguous. GDP is a measure of the total dollar amount of production which takes place in an economy during a year. Total goods and services sold will differ from total goods and services produced for two reasons: (1) some of the goods sold were produced in previous years, and (2) some of the goods produced in a year are sold in subsequent years. For this reason, given sales, we need to add end of the year inventories and subtract start of the year inventories . Given this, some students say that the statement is false, because it should say the value of the net change in inventories. Others say that it is true but incomplete, since it is true that you have to add end of the year inventories. Still others say that it is uncertain, because the statement does not specify that it is talking about, end of the year or start of the year inventories.

2. a. To solve for the equilibrium value of Y, one has to set Y equal to total expenditures, Z, and solve for Y. In the model given in this question, Z is given by:

Z = 400 + .75 (Y - 400) + 450 + 300 Setting Z = Y yields Y = 400 + .75 (Y - 400) + 450 + 300 Solving for Y yields Y - .75 Y = 400 -.75 400 + 450 + 300 = 850
(1-.75) Y = 850
Y = 1/(1-.75) 850 = 3400

b. Disposable income is given by YD = Y - T = 3400 - 400 = 3000
c. Private savings is given by S = YD - C = 3400 - 400 - [400 +.75 (3400 - 400)]
                                                                  3400 - 400 - 2650 = 350

 
[Note: There are several ways to check the calculations in part c. For example, the calculation that consumption equals 2650 can be verified by adding C+I+G and obtaining Y (2650+450+300=3400).]

3. a. To answer this question redo part a of the previous question substituting 550 for the 450. The result is:

Y = 400 + .75 (Y - 400) + 550 + 300 Solving for Y yields Y - .75 Y = 400 -.75 400 + 550 + 300 = 950
(1-.75) Y = 950
Y = 1/(1-.75) 950 = 3800
so the change in income is 400. b. Again redo part a for the previous question substituting 500 for the 400 for G.
  Y = 400 + .75 (Y - 400) + 450 + 400
Solving for Y yields Y - .75 Y = 400 -.75 400 + 450 + 400 = 950
(1-.75) Y = 1050
Y = 1/(1-.75) 1050 = 3800
so the change in income is 400.
  c. Now redo part a for the previous question substituting 400 for G and 500 for T

Y = 400 + .75 (Y - 500) + 450 + 400

Solving for Y yields Y - .75 Y = 400 -.75 500 + 450 + 400 = 875
(1-.75) Y = 875
Y = 1/(1-.75) 875 = 3500
so the change in income is 100.

[Note: The result in part c illustrates what is called the balanced budget multiplier. In this model an equal increase in taxes and government expenditures expands the economy. The effect of an increase in taxes to decrease income is not as strong as the effect of an equal increase in government expenditures to increase income. Be sure you know why this is the case.]

4. a. Use the same method to solve this problem. This time instead of being constant, taxes depend upon income.

Y = 400 + .75 [Y - (200 + .2 Y)] + 450 + 300
Y = 400 + .75 Y - .75 200 - .75 .2 Y + 450 + 300
Y - .75 Y + .75 .2 Y = 400 -.75 200 + 450 + 300 = 1000
(1 - .6) Y = 1000
Y = 2500
b. Redo part a with I = 550 Y = 400 + .75 [Y - (200 + .2 Y)] + 550 + 300
Y = 400 + .75 Y - .75 200 - .75 .2 Y + 550 + 300
Y - .75 Y + .75 .2 Y = 400 -.75 200 + 550 + 300 = 1100
(1 - .6) Y = 1100
Y = 2750
so the change in Y is 250. c. The change in income in this model has to take into consideration the fact that some of income increases are taxed away. In the question 3, taxes did not depend upon income, so that there was no tax increase associated with income increases. Another way to explain it is to say that the multiplier was (1/(1 - .75) = 4 in the question 3 model. The multiplier in this model is (1/(1 - .75 + .75 .2) = 2.5. [Note: When taxes depend upon income, the multiplier is lower. Because of this taxes are said to lend built in stability to the economy. Sometimes this is phrased as, "income based taxes are and automatic stabilizer."]

5 a. Again we have to add the new expression to the model and solve for equilibrium income.

Y = 300 + .75 (Y - 400) + 450 + 300 Solving for Y yields Y - .75 Y = 300 -.75 400 + 450 + 300 = 750
(1-.75) Y = 750
Y = 1/(1-.75) 750 = 3000

b. S = YD - C = 3000 - 400 - [300 +.75 (3000-400)] = 2600 - 2250 = 350
Savings is no different than it was in the previous model (see 2 part c)

c. I will give two explanations. This result is sometimes called the paradox of thrift. The reduction in the consumption function - from C = 400 + .75 YD to C = 300 + .75 YD represents an increase in the savings function (from S = -400 + .25 YD to S = -300 + .25 YD). This increased desire to save leads to a decrease in equilibrium GDP, and therefore savings doesn't actually go up. The act of trying to save more winds up defeating itself.

Another way to look at this is to express the equilibrium condition not as Z=Y, but as its equivalent in terms of savings and investment. Start with

Y = C + I + G.

Subtract taxes from both sides of the equation, yielding

Y - T = C + I + G - T.

Subtract consumption from both sides of the equation, yielding

Y - T - C = S = I + G - T.

This equation tells us that S will equal I + G - T, and since the change in c0 does not change I, G, or T, there can be no change in S.]

6. a. We can do the same thing in symbols that we did with the numerical model, i.e. set Z=Y and solve. Y = c0 + c1 (Y - T0) + I0 + G0

Y - c1 Y = c0 - c1 T + I0 + G0

(1 - c1) Y = c0 - c1 T + I0 + G0

Y = 1/(1 - c1) [c0 - c1 T + I0 + G0]

b. The easiest way to get this answer is to directly substitute I0 + D I into the final equation, yielding Y = 1/(1 - c1) [c0 - c1 T + I0 + D I + G0] c. Ya - Yb = 1/(1-c1) D I

[Note: This is the basic multiplier equation.]

7. a. Since D T = D G call them both X. Now we can derive the equilibrium as we have before, yielding Y = c0 + c1 (Y - T0 -X) + I0 + G0 + X

Y - c1 Y = c0 - c1 T - c1 X+ I0 + G0 + X

(1 - c1) Y = c0 - c1 T + I0 + G0 + (1 - c1) X

Y = 1/(1 - c1) [c0 - c1 T + I0 + G0 + (1 - c1) X]

b. Subtracting the result for this model from the result in 6 part a yields
  D Y = (1 - c1)/(1 - c1) X = X
[Note: As in 3 part c we have the balanced budget multiplier. As in the other case the balanced budget multiplier is positive and equal to one.]

8. Figure 1 gives the answer. Since the multiplier is 1/(1-c1), it equals 1 if c1 equals zero. This leads to a horizontal total expenditure function.

 

 

 

9. a. We can use the same approach on this more complicated model.
 

Y = c0 + c1 (Y - T0) + I0 + G0 + X0 - (q0 + m Y)

Y - c1 Y + m Y = c0 - c1 T + I0 + G0 + X0 - q0

(1 - c1 + m) Y = c0 - c1 T + I0 + G0 + X0 - q0

Y = 1/(1 - c1 + m) [c0 - c1 T + I0 + G0 + X0 - q0]

b. The constant m would be called the marginal propensity to import.

c. The multiplier would be 1/(1 - c1 + m)

10. The multiplier in the model for imports is smaller than the multiplier in the normal model. To see this, use a numerical example. Let c1 = .75, and let m = .2. 1/(1 - c1) = 1/(1 - .75) = 1/.25 = 4

1/(1- c1 + m) = 1/(1 - .75 + .2) = 1/.45 = 2.22

The logic behind this result is that imports are income earned by individuals in other countries, hence spending on imports does not represent new income for those in the home country. When we ignore imports we ignore a leakage from the economy and as a result have a larger multiplier.